GSP GROUP(SH:605088) CMS·2025-09-03 08:01Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q2 revenue of 1.14 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.7%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company for Q2 was 80 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 14.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.3% [1][2]. - North American revenue for the first half of the year reached 530 million yuan, representing a robust year-on-year growth of 18.8%, indicating strong growth resilience despite tariff disruptions [1][7]. - The report highlights that non-recurring items and impairment losses have impacted profitability, while gross margin remained stable [2][7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 3.18 billion yuan in 2023, 4.02 billion yuan in 2024, and 4.51 billion yuan in 2025, with year-on-year growth rates of 8%, 26%, and 12% respectively [3][15]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 284 million yuan in 2023, 298 million yuan in 2024, and 363 million yuan in 2025, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 19%, 5%, and 22% [3][15]. - The report provides a target P/E ratio of 20.9x for 2025, decreasing to 14.3x by 2027, indicating a positive outlook for earnings growth [7][15]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved a total revenue of 2.03 billion yuan in the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 8.2%. Q2 revenue was 1.14 billion yuan, with domestic and European markets dragging down growth, while U.S. revenue showed resilience [7][8]. - The gross margin for the first half of the year was 25.3%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 gross margin was 25.4%, stable compared to the previous quarter [7][15]. - The report notes that the company has three growth drivers: category expansion, platform transformation, and channel penetration, alongside a stable core business and entry into solid-state batteries, which could provide a second growth curve [7][8].