LIUGONG(SZ:000528) China Post Securities·2025-09-03 10:35Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within six months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a robust performance in H1 2025, achieving revenue of 18.181 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.230 billion yuan, up 25.05% [4][5]. - The growth was primarily driven by the earth-moving machinery segment, with both domestic and overseas sales outpacing industry averages. Notably, the loader segment saw revenue growth exceeding 20%, and electric loader global sales surged by 193% [5][6]. - The company is entering a deep internationalization phase, establishing multiple overseas manufacturing bases and R&D institutions, enhancing local supply chains and production capabilities [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 22.32%, a decrease of 1.08 percentage points year-on-year. Domestic gross margin decreased by 0.65 percentage points to 15.82%, while overseas gross margin increased by 1.49 percentage points to 29.69% [5]. - The company forecasts revenues of 34.233 billion yuan, 37.820 billion yuan, and 41.361 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.87%, 10.48%, and 9.36% [7][10]. - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period is 1.719 billion yuan, 2.093 billion yuan, and 2.518 billion yuan, with growth rates of 29.57%, 21.74%, and 20.31% [7][10].