Broadcom(US:AVGO) Guoxin Securities·2025-09-03 11:57Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Outperform" rating for Broadcom [3][5][42] Core Insights - Broadcom benefits from the global AI wave, with significant growth in semiconductor and software sectors driven by AI demand [1][2][42] - Semiconductor solutions dominate revenue structure, accounting for 58.35% of total revenue in FY2024, with AI-related revenue growing by 220% [1][14] - Infrastructure software revenue reached $21.478 billion in FY2024, showing a year-on-year growth of approximately 181.24% [1][14] Revenue and Profitability - In FY2025H1, Broadcom achieved revenue of $29.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.38%, and net profit of $10.468 billion, up 203.77% [2][17] - The company expects FY2025Q3 revenue to be $15.8 billion, driven by a 35% increase in ASIC sales [2][43] Business Segments - The semiconductor solutions segment includes AI XPU accelerators, network switch chips, and custom ASIC products, while the infrastructure software segment includes VMware Cloud Foundation and virtualization software [13][32] - The semiconductor solutions business is projected to grow at rates of 18.5%, 31.5%, and 25.5% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [31][43] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Broadcom are $61.266 billion, $76.340 billion, and $90.654 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of $25.299 billion, $34.561 billion, and $42.479 billion [4][43] - The report anticipates a steady increase in gross margin, reaching 67.6% in 2025 and 69.1% by 2027 [31][32] Valuation - The report suggests a valuation range of $1,658.93 billion to $1,693.49 billion based on a projected PE ratio of 48-49 for 2026 [3][43] - Broadcom's current PE ratios are 55.29, 40.47, and 32.93 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [43]