LB Group(SZ:002601) Huachuang Securities·2025-09-03 12:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [1][17]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 13.342 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 3.35%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.385 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 6.282 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year and 11.01% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit was 699 million yuan, down 9.24% year-on-year but up 1.90% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in the mining sector in 2026, with new capacity additions anticipated [1][7]. Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 27.539 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 2.8%. For 2025, revenue is expected to increase to 30.386 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 10.3%, and further to 34.954 billion yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 15.0% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 2.169 billion yuan in 2024, with a significant recovery to 2.824 billion yuan in 2025 (30.2% growth) and 3.821 billion yuan in 2026 (35.3% growth) [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.91 yuan in 2024 to 1.18 yuan in 2025 and 1.60 yuan in 2026 [3]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company holds the leading position in the titanium dioxide market, with a strong operational capacity and cost advantages compared to international competitors. The report highlights the company's ability to maintain high operating rates despite market fluctuations [7]. - The company is actively expanding its titanium ore resources, which is expected to enhance its pricing power and solidify its market position [7]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the company will benefit from the upcoming increase in domestic production capacity, with an expected addition of 1.3 million tons in 2025 and 1.6 million tons in 2026. This is expected to lead to a recovery in supply-demand dynamics post-peak production [7]. - The strategic partnership with Sichuan Resources Group for the development of the Honggen South Mine is expected to further strengthen the company's resource control and operational capabilities [7].