SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-03 12:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 24.34 CNY [5][12]. Core Views - The company's 2025 mid-term report meets expectations, showing continuous improvement in revenue and net profit excluding non-recurring items, with reform results gradually materializing. The first model under the Huawei partnership is set to launch, which is expected to provide new momentum for sales growth [2][12]. - The company has achieved a 12.1% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q2 2025, reaching 158.7 billion CNY, while the cumulative sales volume for the first half of the year is 2.053 million units, up 12.4% year-on-year [12]. - The new brand "SAIC 尚界" is actively promoting its first model, with plans for two additional models to expand market coverage [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 744.705 billion CNY, with a forecasted increase to 836.451 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15.3% [4][13]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to recover from 1.666 billion CNY in 2024 to 18.178 billion CNY by 2027, indicating a significant rebound [4][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.03 CNY in 2025, increasing to 1.58 CNY by 2027 [4][12]. Market Performance - The stock has a 52-week price range of 11.55 CNY to 21.04 CNY, with a current price of 18.95 CNY [6][12]. - The company's market capitalization stands at 217.836 billion CNY [6]. - The stock has shown a 57% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the index by 19% [10].