NBOND(SH:603238) Southwest Securities·2025-09-03 14:52Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Nobon Co., Ltd. (603238) with a target price of 27.00 CNY over the next six months, compared to the current price of 19.86 CNY [1]. Core Views - Nobon Co., Ltd. is expected to benefit from continuous optimization of customer and product structure, with promising growth for its proprietary brands [1]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 33.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by increased orders from downstream customers [7][32]. - The report highlights the company's robust performance in both domestic and international markets, despite facing temporary challenges due to tariffs [53][44]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Nobon achieved revenue of 1.34 billion CNY, a 33.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 65.3 million CNY, up 48.3% year-on-year [7][32]. - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 15.7%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, with net profit margin at 4.9%, up 0.5 percentage points [35][32]. Business Segments - The product segments include non-woven materials (rolls) and non-woven products, with the product segment showing a revenue increase of 39.4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [42][32]. - The company has established stable partnerships with well-known domestic supermarkets and is expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [44][53]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that Nobon will continue to grow its proprietary brand, "Xiaozhijia," which has seen a revenue increase of 70.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [54][32]. - The global market for wet wipes is projected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.6% from 2025 to 2029, benefiting companies like Nobon that are positioned in this sector [27][32]. Valuation and Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for Nobon is projected to be 0.74 CNY in 2025, 0.90 CNY in 2026, and 1.08 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 27, 22, and 18 respectively [2][62]. - The report assigns a 30x valuation for 2026, leading to a target price of 27.0 CNY, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in the non-woven materials sector [62][64].