Mindray(SZ:300760) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-09-04 06:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is expected to see a performance turning point in Q3 2025, driven by a recovery in domestic medical equipment bidding activities and stable growth in overseas markets [2][5] - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, but international revenue showed resilience with a growth rate exceeding 20% in certain segments [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.743 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 18.45%, and a net profit of 5.069 billion yuan, down 32.96% [1] - Q2 2025 saw revenue of 8.506 billion yuan, a decrease of 23.77%, and a net profit of 2.440 billion yuan, down 44.55% [1] Overseas Market Performance - The company generated overseas revenue of 8.332 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.39%, with significant growth in the CIS and Middle East Africa regions [2] - The international revenue accounted for approximately 50% of total revenue, with notable performance in various regions including Latin America and Europe [2] Domestic Market Performance - Domestic revenue for H1 2025 was 8.411 billion yuan, a decline of 33.38%, attributed to market competition and extended bidding cycles [2] - A recovery in domestic bidding activities is anticipated, with expectations for a performance turnaround in Q3 2025 [2] Product Line and Innovation - The company reported significant growth in its international chemical luminescence business, with a growth rate exceeding 20% [3] - New product launches in various segments, including high-end ultrasound and in vitro diagnostics, are expected to drive future growth [4] Shareholder Returns - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 13.10 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.588 billion yuan, reflecting a high dividend payout ratio of 65.06% [5] - Cumulative cash dividends for H1 2025 reached 3.298 billion yuan [5] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 38.258 billion yuan, 43.729 billion yuan, and 49.948 billion yuan, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 4.2%, 14.3%, and 14.2% respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 12.481 billion yuan, 14.542 billion yuan, and 16.904 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 7.0%, 16.5%, and 16.2% [5]