AEOLUS(SH:600469) Shanxi Securities·2025-09-04 07:19Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-B" rating to the company, indicating an upward adjustment in the investment outlook [2][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 3.52 billion yuan for H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 11.7%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 55.4% to 100 million yuan [3][4]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.89 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.4% and a year-on-year increase of 15.9% [3][4]. - The company is initiating the construction of a 20,000-unit giant tire project, which is expected to enhance its product matrix and drive future revenue growth [6]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company produced 2.996 million tires, a 7% increase year-on-year, and sold 2.953 million tires, a 10.3% increase year-on-year [4]. - The average selling price of tire products in Q2 2025 increased by 1.81% quarter-on-quarter and 1.35% year-on-year [4]. - The gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q2 2025 were 16.14% and 3.96%, respectively, showing improvements of 2.67 and 2.22 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4]. Raw Material Costs - The raw material price index decreased by 8.8% compared to the average value in 2024, which is expected to positively impact the company's margins in Q3 2025 [5]. Growth Potential - The company has seen significant growth in its specialty tire segment, particularly in giant tires, with sales increasing from approximately 3,100 units in 2021 to over 5,900 units in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate of nearly 80% [6]. - The giant tire project, with a total investment of approximately 1.464 billion yuan, is expected to generate annual revenue of about 1.563 billion yuan upon reaching full production [6]. Earnings Forecast - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 300 million yuan, 450 million yuan, and 670 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 10, and 7 times [6].