SDBH(SH:600966) Changjiang Securities·2025-09-04 08:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 9.564 billion and net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million in H1 2025, with year-on-year changes of +3% and -31% respectively [2][4] - The company expects a recovery in profitability as the packaging paper sales season approaches, with stable growth in production and sales volumes [4][10] - The company has successfully completed half of its stock incentive target for total paper product sales of no less than 4.7 million tons in 2025, with a total production of 2.432 million tons of mechanical paper in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.39% [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 9.564 billion, net profit of 90 million, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 58 million, with year-on-year changes of +3%, -31%, and -47% respectively [2][4] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 4.999 billion, net profit of 37 million, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 6 million, with year-on-year changes of +3%, +20%, and -57% respectively [2][4] Production and Sales - The company produced 2.432 million tons of mechanical paper in H1 2025, with sales of 2.350 million tons, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12.39% and 8.77% respectively [10] - The company’s export sales accounted for 20.6% of total sales in H1 2025, contributing to revenue growth [10] Market Outlook - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in profitability as the packaging paper market enters its peak sales season in Q3 2025, with expectations for price recovery in various paper segments [10] - The company is positioned to benefit from a potential easing of supply pressures in the paper industry, with expectations for a gradual upward cycle starting from 2026 [10]