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中国财险(02328):投资向好增配权益,负债承保盈利领先

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The report is optimistic about the dual improvement in assets and liabilities, indicating that the commercial model of property insurance is not affected by interest rate spreads. Despite potential short-term profit pressures from natural disasters, the company's solid fundamentals and profitability remain intact. The report anticipates a long-term increase in industry concentration due to enhanced regulatory competition, supporting the company's asset and liability improvements and valuation upside [2][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 24.46 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.3%. The comprehensive cost ratio improved to 94.8%, down 1.4 percentage points year-on-year [6][9]. - Total investment income reached 17.26 billion yuan, up 26.6% year-on-year, with an annualized total investment return rate of 2.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points [9]. Underwriting Profitability - The company reported original premium income of 323.28 billion yuan, a 3.6% increase year-on-year, maintaining a market share of 33.5% [9]. - The underwriting profitability showed significant improvement, with a combined ratio of 94.8%. The expense ratio decreased by 3.1 percentage points to 23%, while the loss ratio increased by 1.7 percentage points to 71.8% [9]. Sector Performance - The main sources of premium income include auto insurance, agricultural insurance, liability insurance, and health insurance, which together account for 90.5% of total premiums. Health insurance showed good growth [9]. - The combined ratio for auto insurance improved by 2.2 percentage points, benefiting from cost control, while agricultural insurance also saw improvements in its combined ratio [9]. Investment Strategy - The company has increased its equity allocation, with total investment income performing well. The equity allocation rose from 7.3% at the beginning of the year to 9.2% [9]. - The solvency ratio is strong, with a core solvency adequacy ratio of 213.2%, up 2.2 percentage points from 2024, significantly exceeding regulatory requirements [9].