DTCIC(SH:601001) Huafu Securities·2025-09-04 08:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% compared to the market benchmark within the next six months [21]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.97 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 19.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 880 million yuan, down 39.0% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 3.54 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.8% but an increase of 46.1% year-on-year. The net profit for Q2 was 360 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 44.5% and a year-on-year decrease of 29.0% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, coal revenue was 5.61 billion yuan, down 21.7% year-on-year, with operating costs of 3.47 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.7% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 2.14 billion yuan, down 34.7% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 3.37 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.8% but a year-on-year increase of 50.1%. Operating costs rose by 33.2% quarter-on-quarter to 1.98 billion yuan, leading to a gross profit of 1.38 billion yuan, which increased by 83.5% quarter-on-quarter [4][6]. Production and Sales - The company produced 17.22 million tons of raw coal in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 13.29 million tons, down 8.0% year-on-year. The average selling price per ton of coal was 422 yuan, down 14.8% year-on-year, with a cost of 261 yuan per ton, down 2.9% year-on-year, resulting in a gross profit of 161 yuan per ton, down 29.0% year-on-year [4][5]. Tax and Investment Income - In Q2 2025, the company incurred tax and additional charges of 360 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.6%. Investment income was negative 50 million yuan, a decline of 1.2 billion yuan year-on-year, primarily due to reduced profitability from the associated company [6]. Financial Structure and Dividend Policy - The company's debt-to-asset ratio decreased to 26.2% in H1 2025, down 2.7 percentage points from the end of 2024. A cash dividend of 0.755 yuan per share is proposed, totaling 1.26 billion yuan, with a payout ratio increased to 45% [6][7]. Earnings Forecast - The report adjusts the profit forecast for the company, predicting net profits of 1.86 billion yuan, 2.16 billion yuan, and 2.32 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.11 yuan, 1.29 yuan, and 1.39 yuan per share [7].