MXEP(SH:600101) China Post Securities·2025-09-05 06:26Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [7][58]. Core Insights - The company is a state-controlled enterprise engaged in electricity and water supply, with a comprehensive service network. It has a 100% market share in electricity supply and nearly 90% in water supply within its jurisdiction as of 2025H1 [4][17]. - The company has shown steady long-term growth, with a 10-year CAGR of 8.6% in revenue and 7.9% in net profit from 2014 to 2024 [4][22]. - The ongoing energy reform and integration of generation, transmission, and sales are expected to enhance the company's comprehensive energy services [5][6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The latest closing price is 10.05 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 55 billion yuan and a PE ratio of 26.30 [3]. - The company has a low debt ratio of 27.1%, indicating a stable financial position [3][33]. Business Performance - In 2025H1, the company reported revenues of 1.52 billion yuan and a net profit of 70 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.7% in revenue but a decline of 13.1% in net profit due to reduced water inflow [22]. - The company’s electricity and water sales have shown robust growth, with a CAGR of 12.9% and 5.5% respectively from 2015 to 2024 [50]. Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 3.13 billion, 3.40 billion, and 3.65 billion yuan, with net profits of 210 million, 220 million, and 220 million yuan respectively. The net profit CAGR for this period is estimated at 4.6% [7][57]. - The diluted EPS for the same period is forecasted to be 0.38, 0.39, and 0.41 yuan [7][57]. Valuation - The PE multiples based on the current stock price for 2025-2027 are projected to be 27, 25, and 24 times respectively [7][58]. - The report references comparable companies for valuation, considering the company's active expansion into comprehensive energy services [58].