Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's main products are under pressure, and it is waiting for a recovery in the industry chain [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 9.776 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -397 million yuan, a decline of 140.60% year-on-year [4][5] - The second quarter saw a revenue of 4.548 billion yuan, with a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter decrease of 42.11% and 13.02%, respectively [4] - The company experienced a significant drop in sales volume and prices for its main products, including industrial silicon, silicone rubber, and silicone oil [5] - The report indicates that the company is expected to benefit from potential price recovery as the industry undergoes restructuring and capacity consolidation [6] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.014 billion, 2.840 billion, and 3.773 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30.06X, 21.31X, and 16.04X [7] - Key financial indicators for 2025E include revenue of 28.709 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.6%, and a net profit margin of 7.0% [10] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 18.8% in 2025, with a projected return on equity (ROE) of 5.8% [10]
合盛硅业(603260):主营产品景气承压,静待产业链回暖