Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The core view indicates that the main business related to urban gas is steadily growing, while the connection and smart services are putting short-term pressure on performance [6] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 15.432 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.99%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 638 million yuan, a decrease of 13.61% [9] - The revenue for Q2 2025 was 7.919 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 14.47%, but the net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 12.50% [9] - The urban gas segment reported a net profit of 2.77 billion yuan, down 6.94%, while the gas resource segment saw a profit increase of 42.9% [9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenue for 2023, 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E to be 30.929 billion, 28.348 billion, 31.337 billion, 32.023 billion, and 32.809 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 2.88%, -8.34%, 10.54%, 2.19%, and 2.46% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.44 billion, 1.457 billion, 1.538 billion, 1.764 billion, and 2.068 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 17.80%, 1.19%, 5.53%, 14.73%, and 17.21% [8] Segment Performance - The urban gas segment's revenue in H1 2025 was 8.222 billion yuan, with a 2.58% year-on-year increase, while the gas engineering and other businesses saw a revenue decline of 11.90% [9] - The gas resource segment achieved a net profit of 233 million yuan, with a significant increase in wholesale gas volume by 305.65% [9] - The comprehensive energy segment's revenue was boosted by the successful operation of a gas power plant, with a 113.54% increase in electricity generation [9] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 12.89, 12.22, and 10.65 respectively [8] - The expected return on equity (ROE) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 9.26%, 9.92%, and 10.80% respectively [8]
深圳燃气(601139):城燃相关主业稳增接驳及智慧服务致业绩短期承压