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麦格米特(002851):短期业绩承压,加大投入决战AI

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term performance pressure but is increasing investments, particularly in the AI sector, which is viewed as a critical growth area for the next decade [8] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 4.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 170 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 44.8% [8] - The company is focusing on the AI server market, which has significant growth potential, and is actively investing to capture market opportunities despite short-term profitability challenges [8] - The smart home appliance segment is under pressure due to weak demand, but other business areas such as new energy vehicles and smart equipment are showing strong growth [8] - The company maintains high R&D investment levels, with R&D expenses increasing by 15% year-on-year [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 8.17 billion yuan in 2024 to 16.37 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25.87% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline from 436 million yuan in 2024 to 393 million yuan in 2025, before rebounding to 1.64 billion yuan in 2027 [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to decrease from 0.80 yuan in 2024 to 0.72 yuan in 2025, with a significant increase to 3.00 yuan by 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 102x in 2025, decreasing to 24.44x by 2027 [1]