XCMG(SZ:000425) Changjiang Securities·2025-09-05 10:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 54.808 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.04%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.358 billion yuan, up 16.63% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 4.467 billion yuan, an increase of 35.57% year-on-year [2][6]. - Domestic sales have shown recovery, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, while overseas sales continued to grow, with a year-on-year increase of 16.6%. The gross profit margin for both domestic and international sales has improved, and asset quality has significantly enhanced, with off-balance-sheet guarantees reduced by approximately 9 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024 [2][11]. - The company expects better growth rates in both domestic and international sales in the second half of the year, driven by cost reduction, quality improvement, and the increasing profitability of new energy products [2][11]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a revenue of 54.808 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting an 8.04% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.358 billion yuan, marking a 16.63% increase year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 4.467 billion yuan, up 35.57% year-on-year [2][6]. Domestic and International Sales - Domestic sales have shown a recovery trend, with a 1.5% year-on-year increase, benefiting from the growth in the earth-moving machinery sector. International sales grew by 16.6% year-on-year, with overseas revenue accounting for approximately 47% of total revenue, an increase of 3 percentage points [11]. Gross Margin and Asset Quality - The gross profit margin reached 22.0%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The company has also improved its asset quality, with off-balance-sheet guarantees reduced by about 9 billion yuan compared to the end of 2024 [11]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that both domestic and international sales growth will exceed the first half of the year, supported by cost reduction, quality enhancement, and improved margins for new energy products. The projected net profits for 2025 and 2026 are 7.402 billion yuan and 9.578 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15 times and 12 times [11].