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嘉益股份(301004):2025H1业绩点评:关税扰乱出货节奏,Q2收入同比下降,期待越南基地持续爬坡

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20%, while net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 4% to 305 million yuan [2][6] - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 680 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7%, with net profit attributable to the parent company declining by 27% [2][6] - The decline in revenue is attributed to tariff disruptions affecting both volume and pricing, with domestic production facing cautious order placements from clients [12] - The company is actively advancing the production construction of its Vietnam subsidiary to enhance product diversification and strengthen supply chain collaboration with overseas clients [12] - R&D investment in H1 2025 reached 58.88 million yuan, a 62% increase year-on-year, indicating a focus on expanding product categories and enhancing competitiveness [12] - The company is experiencing a global sales trend and is expanding its production capacity overseas, which is expected to improve overall competitiveness and accelerate new customer acquisition [12] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of 820 million yuan, 980 million yuan, and 1.18 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 11, 9, and 8 [12] - The proposed cash dividend for the mid-2025 period is 145 million yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 48% [12]