BCDC(SH:600376) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-05 11:32Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" to the company with a target price of 3.35 CNY, while the current price is 3.19 CNY [7]. Core Views - The company is experiencing profit pressure with a reported loss in performance for the first half of 2025. Revenue has declined year-on-year, and land acquisition remains cautious. However, operational and innovative businesses are progressing steadily, with a focus on synergistic development across diverse business lines [3][14]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 47,763 million CNY, with a projected decline of 49.3% in 2024 to 24,213 million CNY, followed by a recovery to 26,710 million CNY in 2025, representing a 10.3% increase [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company shows a significant loss of -6,339 million CNY in 2023, worsening to -8,141 million CNY in 2024, but is expected to improve to -2,053 million CNY in 2025, marking a 74.8% increase [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be -0.80 CNY in 2025, improving from -3.16 CNY in 2024 [5]. Business Operations - The company’s sales area decreased by 1.7% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, with sales amounting to 114.1 billion CNY, down 25.1% from the previous year. The average selling price was 15,827 CNY per square meter [14]. - As of June 2025, the company has 148 major projects for sale or under construction, with a total construction area of 43 million square meters, of which 36.3% is located in Beijing [14]. - The company has only added one new land reserve in the first half of 2025, covering an area of 27,000 square meters in Daxing, Beijing [14]. Innovative Business Development - The company has made progress in its operational efficiency and innovation, with a property leasing area of 1.73 million square meters and hotel room sales reaching 157,000 room-days. The overall occupancy rate of six core landmark shopping malls is 95% [14]. - The "首开乐尚" long-term rental apartment brand has opened 11 locations in Beijing, Hangzhou, and Fuzhou, with nearly 7,000 listings and a rental rate of 93% in the first half of 2025 [14]. - The "首开寸草" elderly care brand is gradually establishing its influence, with nine nursing homes set up across various districts in Beijing [14].