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金雷股份(300443):业绩超预期,盈利能力有望持续提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.283 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 188 million yuan, up 153.34% year-on-year. The company's gross margin was 23.47%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points, and the net margin was 14.63%, up 4.25 percentage points [5][13] - The significant growth in performance is attributed to the turnaround in the casting business, which has notably improved profitability [5][14] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.283 billion yuan, a 79.85% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 188 million yuan, a 153.34% increase year-on-year. The second quarter alone saw revenue of 778 million yuan, a 69.98% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 132 million yuan, a 193.95% increase year-on-year [5][13] - The company's wind power shaft products generated revenue of 870 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 93.6% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of approximately 25% [14] Business Segments - The casting business has turned profitable, with the subsidiary Jinlei Heavy Industry achieving a net profit of 19 million yuan in the first half of 2025, benefiting from increased market demand and improved pricing [14] - Other precision shafts also saw steady growth, with revenue reaching 182 million yuan, an 11.6% increase year-on-year, and a gross margin of 34% [15] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 2.722 billion yuan, 3.552 billion yuan, and 4.522 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.4%, 30.5%, and 27.3% respectively. Net profit projections for the same period are 522 million yuan, 642 million yuan, and 809 million yuan, with growth rates of 201.8%, 23.1%, and 25.9% respectively [15][16]