中复神鹰（688295）：销量高增，扭亏为盈

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in sales, achieving a revenue of approximately 920 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 12 million yuan, a decline of 52% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue reached about 520 million yuan, showing an impressive year-on-year growth of 83%, with a net profit of approximately 57 million yuan, marking a substantial increase of 440% year-on-year [2][6]. Summary by Sections Sales Growth and Market Performance - The company experienced a substantial increase in sales, with specific product categories such as 3K tow products growing by 77% year-on-year and high-strength high-modulus products by 53%. The sales in the new energy sector, including wind, solar, and hydrogen, increased by 63%, with wind energy sales growing over 200% year-on-year [13]. Cost Management and Profitability - The company achieved a significant reduction in production costs and expenses, resulting in a turnaround to profitability in Q2. The gross margin for the carbon fiber business was approximately 15.3%, down 8 percentage points year-on-year, but Q2 saw a gross margin improvement to about 24.5%, up 21 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The reduction in costs was partly due to a decrease in the price of acrylonitrile, contributing to a cost reduction of approximately 400 yuan per ton [13]. Industry Dynamics and Future Outlook - The carbon fiber industry is witnessing a recovery in supply-demand dynamics, with the capacity utilization rate rising from 48% to 60% since March. The company is expected to see continued growth in demand from sectors such as automotive and low-altitude economy. The company’s carbon fiber capacity is projected to reach 28,500 tons in 2023, with future expansions expected to bring total capacity to 58,500 tons [13]. Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 170 million, 400 million, and 690 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 127, 54, and 32 times earnings [13].