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卓越新能(688196):生物柴油销量下滑拖累收入,天然脂肪醇投产带动归母业绩同比增16%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and maintained [8] Core Views - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.312 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.12%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 117 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.01% [2][6] - The decline in revenue was primarily due to a decrease in biodiesel sales, while the production of natural fatty alcohol, which began trial production in April 2025, contributed 82.24 million yuan in revenue [2][6] - The company is actively responding to the EU's anti-dumping sanctions on biodiesel by accelerating its global layout and extending its industrial chain [2][12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, biodiesel revenue was 1.07 billion yuan, down 42.3% year-on-year, with sales volume at 125,000 tons, a decrease of 37.55% [12] - The average selling price of biodiesel was 8,533.6 yuan per ton, down 7.7% year-on-year [12] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 10.17%, an increase of 3.83 percentage points, mainly due to the high gross margin from the fatty alcohol business [12] - The cash collection ratio was 95.71%, a slight decrease of 3.41 percentage points year-on-year [12] Strategic Initiatives - The company is addressing the EU's anti-dumping tax of 23.4% by adjusting market strategies, expanding into non-EU markets, and extending into downstream bio-based materials [12] - Future growth is expected from new production capacities in Singapore and domestic projects, which are anticipated to enhance profitability [12] Profit Forecast - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 247 million, 371 million, and 436 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 66%, 50%, and 17% respectively [12]