开源证券近日发布基础化工行业点评报告：据隆众资讯数据，截至11月19日，中国一代、二代生物柴油 FOB价格分别为1,165、1,900美元/吨，分别较2025年年初+11%、+24%。2025年以来，受终端需求增长 带动，生物柴油价格稳步增长。 RED III法案取消UCO双倍降碳政策，生柴需求有望增加 2026年欧盟将逐步执行RED III法案，其较RED II提高了2030年降碳目标，将可再生能源消费占比目标 从32%提高到至少42.5%；交通领域可再生能源占比目标从14%提高至29%；取消对UCO为原料生产生 物柴油双倍降碳的政策。换言之，2026年开始欧盟提高碳排放目标，对生物柴油，尤其是二代生物柴油 需求增加。同时取消UCO双倍降碳政策，生物柴油以及UCO的需求量将接近翻倍的增长。据USDA数据 及我们测算，2025年预计欧盟以UCO为原料生产的生物柴油需求量为374万吨，RED III法案落地后需求 量或将至少再增加400万吨。 受益标的：卓越新能、海新能科、嘉澳环保、山高环能等。 风险提示：政策推进不及预期、原材料价格大幅上涨、技术进步不及预期等。（开源证券 金益腾,宋梓 荣,李思佳） 以下为研 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities highlights the increasing demand for biodiesel in China and globally, driven by terminal demand growth and regulatory changes, particularly the implementation of the RED III directive in the EU starting in 2026 [1][4]. Domestic Market Developments - The first domestic B5 biodiesel injection for internal trade was completed on November 20, marking a significant step in the use of biodiesel in domestic shipping [2][3]. - The Ministry of Commerce's recent policy supports the blending of domestic biodiesel with marine fuel oil, which is expected to enhance the domestic biodiesel market [2]. International Market Trends - The "IMO net-zero framework" is anticipated to increase the demand for biodiesel, with projections indicating that Singapore's marine fuel injection could require millions of tons of biodiesel by 2030 [3]. - China's bonded marine fuel injection is expected to reach 1,988 million tons in 2024, with a potential increase of nearly 400 million tons in biodiesel demand if 20% biodiesel is blended [3]. Regulatory Changes in the EU - The RED III directive will raise the renewable energy consumption target in the EU from 32% to at least 42.5% by 2030, significantly increasing the demand for biodiesel, especially second-generation biodiesel [4]. - The removal of the double carbon reduction policy for used cooking oil (UCO) is expected to nearly double the demand for biodiesel and UCO in the EU [4]. Beneficiary Companies - Companies likely to benefit from these trends include Zhuoyue New Energy (688196.SH), Haineng Technology (300072.SZ), Jiaao Environmental Protection (603822.SZ), and Shanggou Environmental Energy (000803.SZ) [5].

Group 1 - The report highlights a significant increase in SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) prices, with EU and China prices reaching $2,500 and $2,960 per ton respectively, marking increases of 39% and 60% since the beginning of 2025 [1][2] - The profit margin for SAF in China is calculated to exceed 4,000 yuan per ton, indicating strong profitability in the sector [1] - The tightening supply of SAF is driven by the upcoming EU and UK verification of a 2% SAF blending ratio, alongside maintenance shutdowns at major production facilities like NESTE [2] Group 2 - The implementation of the RED III legislation in the EU starting in 2026 will raise carbon reduction targets and eliminate the double carbon credit policy for biodiesel produced from used cooking oil (UCO), leading to increased demand for biodiesel and UCO [3] - The projected demand for biodiesel produced from UCO in the EU is expected to rise significantly, with estimates suggesting an increase from 3.74 million tons in 2025 to an additional 4 million tons in 2026 [3] - The maritime sector is also expected to see increased demand for biodiesel, with new regulations requiring a shift towards electric or 100% biofuel-powered vessels by 2030 [3]

Core Insights - The overall performance of companies in the environmental protection industry is strong, with significant profit growth and cash flow improvement observed in waste incineration and biofuel sectors [1] Waste Incineration Companies - Major waste incineration companies reported significant growth in net profit for Q3, with notable increases from Junxin Co. (+47.6%), Huanlan Environment (+28.1%), Yongxing Co. (+25.6%), and others [2] - Key factors for profit growth include project commissioning, asset acquisitions, improved capacity utilization, and expansion into heating services, contributing an additional profit of approximately 80 yuan per ton of waste [2] - Cash flow from operating activities for waste incineration companies improved due to increased capacity and government subsidy repayments, with Green Power's Q3 subsidy repayments being particularly favorable [2] Water Companies - Profitability among water companies showed significant variation in Q3, with notable declines in net profit for Chuangye Environmental (-10.4%) and Shou Chuang Environmental (-78.4%), while others like Hongcheng Environment (+2.1%) and Chongqing Water (+2.7%) experienced growth [3] - The sharp decline in Shou Chuang Environmental's profit was primarily due to a one-time investment gain from the sale of a Singapore company in the previous year [3] Biofuel Companies - Biofuel companies experienced substantial profit growth in Q3, driven by rising export prices and sales volume, with UCO export prices increasing by $150-$200 per ton compared to the previous year [4] - Companies like Shangaohuan Energy and Langkun Technology reported significant profit increases, with Shangaohuan achieving a net profit of 0.1 billion yuan in Q3, up from a loss of 0.2 billion yuan in the same period last year [4] - The SAF segment also saw profitability improvements, with Jiaao Environmental turning a profit of 0.5 billion yuan in Q3, attributed to increased sales volume and prices [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on waste incineration companies with high dividends and growth potential, such as Guangda Environment, Huanlan Environment, Yongxing Co., and Junxin Co. [6] - Biofuel companies benefiting from overseas carbon reduction policies, including Shangaohuan Energy, Jiaao Environmental, and others, are also recommended for investment [7] - High dividend assets in the water sector, such as Beikong Water Group and Yuehai Investment, are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [7]

Group 1 - The report highlights the stable profitability and cash flow improvement in the municipal environmental sector, driven by debt reduction and water price adjustments, leading to opportunities in high-dividend environmental assets. Recommended companies include Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, Green Power, Junxin Co., Yongxing Co., Hongcheng Environment, Conch Venture, Everbright Environment, and Yuehai Investment [4][27]. - The transportation sector's carbon reduction initiatives are fully underway, with the biodiesel industry expected to benefit significantly from policies such as the EU RED3, which will increase demand for biodiesel in road transport, shipping, and aviation [4][33]. - AI empowerment is driving secondary growth in the municipal environmental sector, with significant potential in waste management and autonomous sanitation. The integration of AI in waste-to-energy projects can enhance profitability and cash flow, with examples showing net profit increases of 83% to 146% [4][27]. Group 2 - The report details the stable revenue and income from municipal water and solid waste services, which are essential for urban operations. The typical operating model involves exclusive rights for 25-30 years, ensuring long-term revenue stability [10][11]. - Water price adjustments are accelerating, with various regions implementing increases that can enhance the profitability of water companies. For instance, cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen have proposed significant price hikes, with increases ranging from 13% to 31% [19][21]. - The report provides a summary of high-dividend companies in the environmental sector, showcasing their market capitalization, PE ratios, net profits, and dividend rates, indicating a trend towards higher shareholder returns [9][24]. Group 3 - The report emphasizes the expected increase in free cash flow for municipal environmental companies due to a significant decline in capital expenditures (Capex), which is projected to enhance dividend rates over time [25][27]. - Specific companies are recommended based on their growth potential and dividend stability, including Hanlan Environment, Xingrong Environment, Junxin Co., Yongxing Co., and Hongcheng Environment, each with unique strengths in their respective markets [27][28]. - The biodiesel industry is set to expand significantly due to EU policies that broaden the scope of renewable energy requirements across various transport sectors, indicating a robust growth trajectory for companies involved in biodiesel production [33][34].

Core Insights - The biodiesel sector experienced a decline of 4.59% on November 14, with Hai Xin Energy leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Stock Performance - International Industrial (000159) closed at 6.85, up 2.24% with a trading volume of 237,400 shares and a transaction value of 163 million [1] - Zhongliang Technology (000930) closed at 6.12, down 0.65% with a trading volume of 153,900 shares and a transaction value of 94.66 million [1] - Pengpeng Environmental (300664) closed at 6.12, down 1.92% with a trading volume of 331,800 shares and a transaction value of 205 million [1] - Excellent New Energy (688196) closed at 61.71, down 4.01% with a trading volume of 25,600 shares and a transaction value of 158 million [1] - Fengbei Biological (603334) closed at 48.30, down 4.03% with a trading volume of 79,100 shares and a transaction value of 38.8 million [1] - Jiaao Environmental (603822) closed at 109.69, down 4.42% with a trading volume of 26,700 shares and a transaction value of 296 million [1] - Shangaohuan Energy (000803) closed at 7.94, down 6.59% with a trading volume of 865,200 shares and a transaction value of 687 million [1] - Hai Xin Energy (300072) closed at 5.56, down 10.03% with a trading volume of 2,447,900 shares and a transaction value of 1.407 billion [1] Capital Flow - The biodiesel sector saw a net outflow of 390 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 288 million [1] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks shows varying trends, with International Industrial seeing a net inflow of 3.08 million from main funds, while Hai Xin Energy experienced a net outflow of 150 million [2]

Core Insights - The biodiesel sector experienced a 3.5% increase on November 12, with Shanggou Huanneng leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Sector Performance - Shanggou Huanneng (000803) closed at 8.72, up 9.96% with a trading volume of 482,400 shares and a transaction value of 416 million [1] - Jiaao Environmental Protection (603822) closed at 114.00, up 8.79% with a trading volume of 41,500 shares and a transaction value of 463 million [1] - Zhuoyue New Energy (688196) closed at 64.20, up 5.59% with a trading volume of 50,900 shares and a transaction value of 326 million [1] - Pengyao Environmental Protection (300664) closed at 6.28, up 3.80% with a trading volume of 736,200 shares and a transaction value of 464 million [1] - Fengbei Biological (603334) closed at 52.22, up 2.57% with a trading volume of 112,900 shares and a transaction value of 589 million [1] - Hainxinnengke (300072) closed at 5.88, up 0.86% with a trading volume of 3,180,700 shares and a transaction value of 1.872 billion [1] - International Industry (000159) closed at 6.70, up 0.45% with a trading volume of 272,900 shares and a transaction value of 182 million [1] - COFCO Technology (000930) closed at 6.11, up 0.33% with a trading volume of 197,000 shares and a transaction value of 120 million [1] Capital Flow - The biodiesel sector saw a net inflow of 321 million from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 227 million [1] - Main funds for Shanggou Huanneng had a net inflow of 138 million, representing 33.05% of the total [2] - Fengbei Biological had a net inflow of 78.42 million from main funds, accounting for 13.32% [2] - Pengyao Environmental Protection had a net inflow of 72.13 million from main funds, representing 15.54% [2] - Zhuoyue New Energy had a net inflow of 31.32 million from main funds, accounting for 9.60% [2] - Jiaao Environmental Protection had a net inflow of 9.39 million from main funds, representing 2.03% [2] - Hainxinnengke had a minimal net inflow of 234,700 from main funds [2] - COFCO Technology experienced a net outflow of 18.51 million from main funds, representing -15.39% [2]

证券代码：688196 证券简称：卓越新能 公告编号：2025-052 龙岩卓越新能源股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 关于召开 2025 年第三季度业绩说明会的公告 会议召开时间：2025 年 11 月 21 日（星期五）11:00-12:00 会议召开地点：上海证券交易所上证路演中心 （网址：https://roadshow.sseinfo.com/） 会议召开方式：上证路演中心网络互动 投资者可于 2025 年 11 月 14 日（星期五）至 11 月 20 日（星期四）16:00 前登录上证路演中心网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司投资者关系邮 箱 zyxnyir@163.com 进行提问。公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行 回答。 龙岩卓越新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 10 月 31 日发布公司 2025 年第三季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面深入地了解公司经 营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 11 月 21 日（星期五）11:00-12 ...

Core Insights - The total margin financing balance on the STAR Market decreased by 0.33 billion yuan, while the margin short selling balance increased by 11.064 million yuan as of November 10 [1][2] Financing Balance Summary - The total margin financing balance reached 260.063 billion yuan, with a decrease of 0.327 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The highest margin financing balance was held by Cambrian (寒武纪) at 15.133 billion yuan, followed by SMIC (中芯国际) and Haiguang Information (海光信息) with balances of 13.768 billion yuan and 8.585 billion yuan respectively [1] - A total of 306 stocks saw an increase in margin financing balance, while 280 stocks experienced a decrease [1] - Notable increases in margin financing balance were observed in Fumiao Technology (富淼科技), Huasheng Lithium (华盛锂电), and Zhuoyue New Energy (卓越新能) with increases of 30.85%, 30.08%, and 29.26% respectively [1] - Significant decreases were noted in Zhongke Feimiao (中科飞测), Pinming Technology (品茗科技), and Hanghua Co. (杭华股份) with declines of 15.48%, 14.70%, and 13.69% respectively [1] Short Selling Balance Summary - The highest margin short selling balance was recorded for Haiguang Information at 4.3 million yuan, followed by Cambrian and SMIC with balances of 3.7 million yuan and 3.1 million yuan respectively [2] - A total of 147 stocks saw an increase in margin short selling balance, while 130 stocks experienced a decrease [2] - The largest increases in margin short selling balance were seen in Zhenlei Technology (臻镭科技), Kewell (科威尔), and Sitwei (思特威) with increases of 350.02%, 237.39%, and 212.93% respectively [2] - The most significant decreases were observed in Youkede (优刻得), Liyuanheng (利元亨), and Lante Optics (蓝特光学) with declines of 74.90%, 67.59%, and 64.52% respectively [2]

Core Insights - The European Union (EU) has committed to investing at least €3.3 billion over the next two years to support the decarbonization of the aviation and shipping industries, focusing on the development of renewable and low-carbon fuel production systems [1][3] - The demand for Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) is primarily driven by policy, with a target of 2% SAF blending by 2025 and a long-term goal of 70% by 2050 [1][2] - The price of high-end SAF in China has increased by 47.22% from $1,800/ton at the beginning of the year to $2,650/ton as of November 10 [1][7] Industry Demand and Policy - The EU has established comprehensive SAF application targets and carbon reduction goals, with the ReFuelEU Aviation Regulation mandating a 2% SAF blending requirement starting in 2025 [2] - IATA projects that SAF demand will rise significantly from approximately 1 million tons in 2024 to 18 million tons by 2030, reaching 350 million tons by 2050 [2] - By 2035, the EU will require about 20 million tons of sustainable alternative fuels, necessitating an investment of approximately €100 billion to meet this demand [2] Investment and Market Confidence - The EU's Sustainable Transport Investment Plan aims to reduce carbon emissions from transportation by 90% by 2050, requiring an investment of around €100 billion, with 60% allocated to aviation fuels [3][4] - The plan includes various funding initiatives, such as €2 billion for developing sustainable alternative fuels and €300 million from the European Hydrogen Bank to support sustainable aviation and shipping fuels [3][4] Market Dynamics and Price Trends - The high cost of SAF compared to traditional jet fuel has led to a general reluctance among airlines to adopt SAF, with major airlines requesting more time to comply with SAF blending mandates [5][6] - As of November 10, the average price of used cooking oil (UCO) in China was 6,448 yuan/ton, reflecting a 17.24% increase from the beginning of the year, driven by the scarcity of SAF raw materials [7] - Neste, a leading renewable fuel company, reported a significant increase in its third-quarter revenue and production, with total renewable fuel production reaching 113.3 million tons and EBITDA growing over 150% year-on-year [8] Investment Recommendations - Companies such as Jiaao Environmental Protection and Zhuoyue New Energy are highlighted as key players in the SAF market, with Jiaao Environmental Protection being a leading domestic SAF producer with a capacity of 500,000 tons [9]