SF Holding(SZ:002352) Changjiang Securities·2025-09-07 23:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue growth of 11.5% year-on-year, with a net profit growth of 21.0% [3][4]. - The company's operational activation has driven a significant increase in package volume, leading to a continuous market share increase [3]. - Strategic resource investments and flexible pricing strategies have put pressure on gross margins, but a structural cost reduction is expected to improve margins in 2026 [3][4]. - The company benefited from a tax-adjusted investment income of 590 million yuan from the disposal of Southern SF Logistics REIT shares in Q2 [3]. - A "shared growth" stock ownership plan has been introduced to enhance long-term returns [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company reported total revenue of 146.86 billion yuan, a 9.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.74 billion yuan, up 19.4% [3]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 77.01 billion yuan, with net profit at 3.5 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 11.5% and 21.0% respectively [3]. Operational Highlights - The company's express delivery business volume grew by 25.7% year-on-year in H1 2025, with Q2 showing a 31.2% increase to 4.27 billion packages [4]. - The company has seen significant growth in various business segments, including same-city delivery, which grew by 38.9% [4]. Margin and Profitability - The gross margin in Q2 2025 decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 13.1% year-on-year, primarily due to increased strategic investments and flexible pricing [4]. - The company’s operating expense ratio improved, decreasing by 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 11.67 billion, 13.75 billion, and 15.91 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.0, 15.3, and 13.2 [4].