Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Hygeia Healthcare, with a target price of HK$35.17, indicating a significant upside from the current price of HK$14.58 [3][6]. Core Insights - The operating performance for the first half of 2025 remained relatively stable, with a notable improvement in cash flow [1][5]. - Revenue for 1H25 was RMB 1.99 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 16.5% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 3.6%. Oncology services accounted for 44% of total revenue [4][13]. - The company operates 16 oncology-focused hospitals and is actively catering to international patients, particularly from Malaysia and Indonesia [4][13]. - Gross margin was under pressure due to new hospital openings and the impact of DRGs and centralized procurement, resulting in a gross margin of 26.6%, down 5.2 percentage points [4][14]. - Adjusted net profit for 1H25 was RMB 260 million, a decrease of 34.5% year-over-year but an increase of 30.2% quarter-over-quarter, with a net margin of 13.2% [4][14]. Financial Performance Summary - The company expects revenue for 2025 and 2026 to be RMB 4.49 billion and RMB 4.65 billion, respectively, with year-over-year growth of 1.0% and 3.7% [6][16]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to be RMB 610 million and RMB 690 million for 2025 and 2026, reflecting growth rates of 6.1% and 7.6% [6][16]. - Operating cash flow improved to RMB 460 million, a 29.9% increase, while capital expenditures decreased by 28.5% to RMB 240 million [5][15]. - Free cash flow surged to RMB 210 million, marking a significant increase of 1,611% [5][15]. Valuation and Market Position - Hygeia Healthcare is recognized as a leading private healthcare provider with quality hospital assets and long-term brand value, justifying the target price of HK$35.17, which corresponds to a P/E ratio of 32x for 2025 and 29x for 2026 [6][16]. - The company has a market capitalization of HK$9.02 billion (approximately US$1.16 billion) and a free float of 54% [3][6].
海吉亚医疗（06078）：25H1经营业绩环比相对企稳，现金流显著改善