NHPM(SH:601882) Huaan Securities·2025-09-08 03:16Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a historical high in revenue for Q2 2025, with ongoing capacity expansion and market development [4][6] - The company's H1 2025 revenue was 1.663 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.92%, and the net profit attributable to the parent company was 237 million yuan, down 19.27% year-on-year, indicating slight pressure on performance during the industry's bottoming phase [4][5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.663 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.92% year-on-year, and a net profit of 237 million yuan, down 19.27% year-on-year [4][5] - For Q2 2025, the company recorded revenue of 923 million yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, marking a historical high for quarterly revenue [6] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 26.14%, a decrease of 2.22 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 14.27% [6] Industry Context - The machine tool industry in China saw a revenue decline of 1.7% year-on-year in H1 2025, an improvement compared to a 5.2% decline in 2024 [5] - The metal cutting machine tool sector experienced a revenue increase of 13.8% year-on-year, with a total profit of 5.6 billion yuan, up 33% [5] Product Development and Market Expansion - The company increased its investment in product research and development in H1 2025, focusing on enhancing product performance and understanding key industries [7] - The company is expanding its production capacity in Southern China and advancing the construction of a high-end CNC machine tool intelligent production base in Ningbo [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 3.492 billion yuan, 3.743 billion yuan, and 4.038 billion yuan, respectively [8] - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 536 million yuan, 594 million yuan, and 667 million yuan, respectively [8] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 20.8, 18.7, and 16.7 for 2025-2027 [8]