Workflow
万辰集团(300972):业绩延续增长,利润率超预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 22.583 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 106.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 472 million yuan, marking a return to profitability [6]. - The core driver of growth is the bulk snack business, which accounted for over 98.95% of total revenue, reaching 22.345 billion yuan in the first half of 2025. The number of stores increased to 15,365, a net addition of 1,169 stores compared to the beginning of the year, reflecting a 131.47% year-on-year growth [7]. - The company's sales net profit margin improved to 3.85% in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase to 4.10% in Q2 compared to Q1, an increase of 0.51 percentage points [7]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to have earnings per share (EPS) of 3.78, 4.97, and 6.02 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 50.9, 38.6, and 31.9 [8]. - Revenue forecasts for the company are as follows: 55.132 billion yuan in 2025, 67.039 billion yuan in 2026, and 79.289 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 70.5%, 21.6%, and 18.3% respectively [10][12]. - The net profit is expected to reach 708 million yuan in 2025, 933 million yuan in 2026, and 1.129 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 141.4%, 31.7%, and 21.0% respectively [10][12].