YYTH(SH:600096) Guohai Securities·2025-09-09 07:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][13] Core Views - The company has shown stable operations with a continuous decrease in debt ratio, despite a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025. The revenue was 24.992 billion yuan, down 21.88% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.761 billion yuan, down 2.81% year-on-year [4][5] - The company benefits from high phosphate prices and increased phosphate fertilizer exports, which have positively impacted profits in Q2 2025 [10][11] Financial Performance Summary - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.988 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.90% year-on-year, but a net profit of 1.472 billion yuan, an increase of 6.52% year-on-year [4][10] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 21.25%, an increase of 6.56 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 13.71%, an increase of 4.22 percentage points year-on-year [4][10] - The company’s asset-liability ratio as of June 30, 2025, was 51.58%, a decrease of 0.68 percentage points from the end of 2024 [6] Segment Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the phosphate fertilizer segment generated revenue of 6.995 billion yuan, down 15.20% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 39.20%, up 4.84 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The compound fertilizer segment saw a revenue increase of 6.00% year-on-year, while the feed-grade calcium phosphate segment experienced a revenue increase of 14.47% year-on-year [5] Market Position and Outlook - The company holds a leading position in phosphate resources with nearly 800 million tons of phosphate reserves and a production capacity of 14.5 million tons per year [11] - The company plans to maintain a high dividend level, proposing a cash dividend of 2 yuan per 10 shares for the first half of 2025, which represents 13.20% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [12] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 58.6 billion, 59.4 billion, and 60.1 billion yuan, with net profits of 6 billion, 6.3 billion, and 6.6 billion yuan respectively, indicating a strong growth outlook [13][15]