国电南瑞(600406):智能电网和能源低碳持续增长,海外新签与合同负债表现亮眼

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 24.24 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.95 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company’s performance in Q2 2025 showed a revenue of 15.35 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 22.5% and a net profit of 2.27 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.3% increase year-on-year [2][4]. - The company’s smart grid and low-carbon energy sectors continue to show strong growth, with overseas revenue increasing by 139.2% [9]. Revenue Summary - In the first half of 2025, the smart grid revenue was 12.225 billion yuan, up 28.4% year-on-year; low-carbon energy revenue was 6.541 billion yuan, up 29.5% year-on-year; and integrated and other revenues decreased by 58.6% [9]. - Domestic revenue reached 22.224 billion yuan, a 14.5% increase year-on-year, while overseas revenue was 1.987 billion yuan, marking a significant increase [9]. Profitability Summary - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 26.45%, down 2.48 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 27.75%, down 3.82 percentage points year-on-year [9]. - The gross margin for the smart grid segment was 30.34%, down 2.93 percentage points year-on-year, while the low-carbon energy segment had a gross margin of 21.59%, down 1.68 percentage points [9]. Expense Summary - The total expense ratio for the first half of 2025 was 12.42%, down 1.45 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio was 4.12%, down 0.67 percentage points [9]. - The company benefited from a reduction in expense ratios due to increased sales revenue and ongoing cost-cutting measures [9]. Order Summary - The company signed new contracts worth 35.432 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 23.46%. The international contracts grew by over 200% [9]. - As of the end of Q2 2025, the contract liabilities reached 7.399 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 56.5% [9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 8.5 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 20.5 times [9].