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三一重能(688349):2025H1风机出货快速增长,海外订单加速放量

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, achieving 8.59 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 62.8%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 51.5% to 210 million yuan [2][4]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 6.41 billion yuan, marking an 80.3% year-on-year increase, while net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 139.2% to 400 million yuan [2][4]. - The company has seen a rapid increase in wind turbine shipments, with 4.72 GW shipped in the first half of 2025, a 44% increase year-on-year, contributing approximately 6.4 billion yuan in revenue [9]. - The company has also accelerated its overseas orders, with new overseas orders exceeding 2 GW and total overseas order value surpassing 10 billion yuan [9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company achieved a gross margin of approximately 10.6% in the first half of 2025, which is a decline compared to the previous year. The gross margin for the wind turbine business was 4.65%, with overseas sales gross margin exceeding 20% [9]. - The company’s operating expenses ratio was about 11.1%, a decrease of 4.2 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to improved cost control and revenue growth [9]. Business Segments - Wind turbine business revenue was approximately 6.4 billion yuan, a 30% increase year-on-year, while wind power generation revenue fell by 36% to 80 million yuan [9]. - Wind power service revenue increased by 26% to 180 million yuan, and revenue from power station product sales was about 1.83 billion yuan, with new power stations connected totaling 0.46 GW [9]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see a recovery in gross margins as wind turbine bidding prices stabilize. The third quarter is anticipated to witness improved performance due to the delivery of higher-priced wind turbine orders [9]. - The forecast for the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is approximately 1.84 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 18.7 times [9].