迈瑞医疗（300760）：国内拐点将近，海外稳健发展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is approaching a domestic turning point while maintaining steady growth overseas. The first half of 2025 saw a revenue of 16.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 5.07 billion yuan, down 33.0% year-on-year. Domestic revenue was 8.41 billion yuan, down 33.4% year-on-year, attributed to extended income recognition cycles from public tenders. However, the third quarter is expected to show significant improvement as tender activities gradually recover [9]. - The company’s international business achieved revenue of 8.33 billion yuan, up 5.4% year-on-year, benefiting from the continuous breakthrough in high-end customer segments and the gradual improvement of local platforms [9]. - The company has maintained high R&D investment, with 1.78 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, accounting for 10.6% of revenue. It has established a digital medical ecosystem and launched several new products in the in vitro diagnostics and medical imaging sectors [9]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Based on the mid-2025 report, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 9.64, 10.81, and 12.40 yuan respectively, down from previous estimates of 10.63, 12.13, and 13.77 yuan. The target price is set at 308.48 yuan, based on a 32 times price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 [3][6]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 34.93 billion yuan in 2023 to 48.98 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.3% [5][11]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s gross margin is projected to be 63.3% in 2025, with a net profit margin of 30.2% [5][11]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 35.6% in 2023 to 29.3% in 2025, reflecting the impact of increased competition and market conditions [5][11]. Market Performance - As of September 9, 2025, the company’s stock price was 241 yuan, with a 52-week high of 344.56 yuan and a low of 203.88 yuan [6].