SINOLINK SECURITIES(SH:600109) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-09-10 10:49Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Guojin Securities, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [30]. Core Insights - Guojin Securities achieved a revenue of 3.862 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 44.28%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.111 billion yuan, up 144.19% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share of 0.301 yuan, also up 144.72% year-on-year [4][6]. - The company's wealth management business continues to grow, with a significant increase in client numbers and assets, particularly among younger generations [5][10]. - The brokerage business saw a substantial increase in net income, with a year-on-year growth of 56.68% in commission income [9][10]. - The investment income, including fair value changes, increased by 116.76% year-on-year, reflecting strong performance in both equity and fixed income investments [17]. - The company’s debt financing business expanded significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 37.44% in various bond underwriting scales [12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guojin Securities reported a total revenue of 3.862 billion yuan, a 44.28% increase from the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.111 billion yuan, marking a 144.19% increase [4][6]. - The weighted average return on equity was 3.24%, up 1.85 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Business Segments - The brokerage business's net income and investment income (including fair value changes) increased, while the proportion of investment banking and interest income decreased [7]. - The wealth management business saw a client base increase of 11.44% and total client assets up by 9.92% compared to the end of 2024 [10]. - The company’s investment banking segment experienced a decline in equity financing but a notable increase in debt financing, with a 37.44% rise in bond underwriting [12]. Future Projections - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.56 yuan for 2025 and 0.60 yuan for 2026, with book value per share (BVPS) projected at 9.53 yuan and 9.94 yuan respectively [5][28]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratios are expected to be 1.04 and 1.00 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, based on the closing price of 9.90 yuan on September 9 [5][28].