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三一重能(688349):Q2业绩大幅改善,海外市场表现亮眼

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [1][11]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 250 billion, 280 billion, and 320 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a notable improvement in Q2 performance driven by strong overseas market growth [5][7]. - The company reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 62.75% in H1 2025, although net profit decreased by 51.54% during the same period, indicating challenges in profitability [7]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with over 28GW of orders, marking a historical high, and has successfully secured significant offshore wind projects [7]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 149.39 billion yuan in 2023, 177.92 billion yuan in 2024, and 250 billion yuan in 2025 [5][9]. - The forecasted net profit for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 16.93 billion, 23.60 billion, and 28.08 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 1.38, 1.92, and 2.29 yuan [8][9]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 21.11 for 2025, decreasing to 12.73 by 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation attractiveness over time [8][9]. Market Performance - The company’s stock price is currently at 29.15 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 21.94 to 34.50 yuan, reflecting a stable market position [1]. - The company has shown strong performance in the wind power equipment sector, with a 30.32% increase in revenue from wind turbine manufacturing in H1 2025 [7].