CSICPCL(SH:600482) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-09-10 13:55Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of approximately 93.35% and a 35.2% increase in Q2 2025 [1] - The growth in revenue and profit is attributed to the continued expansion in the shipbuilding industry, increased sales in the diesel engine segment, and effective cost control measures [1][3] - The company has a strong order book, with new contracts signed in the first half of 2025 amounting to 339.19 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 25.42% [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue reached 27.651 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 919 million yuan, up 93.35% [1] - The company's gross profit margin improved by 4.65 percentage points year-on-year in H1 2025, with a gross margin of approximately 16.49% [3] - The revenue breakdown by business segments shows that the diesel power segment generated 139.68 billion yuan, a 27.25% increase year-on-year, accounting for 50.52% of total revenue [2] Market Outlook - The shipbuilding cycle is on an upward trend, with demand for various ship types increasing, which is expected to improve the profitability of shipyards [5] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the tight supply-demand relationship in the ship engine market, as it is a leading player in the industry [10] - The after-market service for diesel engines presents a significant growth opportunity, with the company expanding its global service network [10][11] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of approximately 600 billion yuan, 681 billion yuan, and 757 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% [12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 21.4 billion yuan, 30.1 billion yuan, and 37.7 billion yuan for the same years, with a CAGR of 39% [12] - The estimated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are approximately 23, 16, and 13, respectively [12]