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老白干酒(600559):经营表现稳健,降本增效持续推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at Buy-A with a target price of 21.31 CNY for the next six months [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a stable operating performance with a revenue of 2.481 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 48%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 321 million CNY, up 5.42% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, which has led to a decrease in expense ratios and an increase in profit margins [3]. - The company is expected to experience revenue growth rates of -1.2%, 3.6%, and 6.2% from 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of 1.2%, 7.3%, and 10.5% respectively [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the gross profit margin was 67.97%, an increase of 2.12 percentage points year-on-year. The sales expense ratio and management expense ratio decreased by 0.71 percentage points and 0.10 percentage points respectively [3]. - For Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.314 billion CNY, a decrease of 1.95% year-on-year, while the net profit was 168 million CNY, a slight increase of 0.16% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company’s revenue from high-end products decreased by 9.69%, while the revenue from mid-to-low-end products increased by 7.84% due to enhanced channel penetration and terminal coverage [2]. Brand and Channel Performance - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 shows that the core brands, Laobai Gan and Wuling, generated revenues of 1.277 billion CNY and 526 million CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.97% and 7.01% [2]. - The distribution channels for Q2 2025 indicated that the dealer model generated 1.215 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 12.68%, while direct sales (including group purchases and online sales) generated 93 million CNY, a decrease of 2.68% [2].