XJZY(SZ:002332) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-11 11:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company with a target price of 13.11 CNY [6][13]. Core Views - The company's existing business is under short-term pressure, but improvements are expected in the second half of 2025 as the innovation pipeline progresses [2][13]. - The revenue for the first half of 2025 is reported at 1.869 billion CNY, a decrease of 12.56% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 308 million CNY, down 9.26% [13]. - The report highlights the impact of raw material price competition and centralized procurement on the company's performance, leading to a downward adjustment of EPS forecasts for 2025-2026 [13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections are as follows: 2023A: 4,123 million CNY, 2024A: 4,001 million CNY, 2025E: 3,910 million CNY, 2026E: 4,327 million CNY, and 2027E: 4,898 million CNY, reflecting a decline of 5.9% in 2023 and a gradual recovery thereafter [4][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 563 million CNY in 2023, decreasing to 397 million CNY in 2024, then rebounding to 592 million CNY in 2025, 679 million CNY in 2026, and 781 million CNY in 2027 [4][14]. - The report indicates a projected EPS of 0.60 CNY for 2025, 0.69 CNY for 2026, and 0.79 CNY for 2027 [13][14]. Business Segments - The raw material and intermediate segment reported revenue of 730 million CNY, down 20%, while the formulation segment generated 1.127 billion CNY, a decrease of 7.2% [13]. - The report notes that the gynecology segment saw revenue of 207 million CNY, down 11%, while respiratory formulations increased by 13% to 446 million CNY [13]. Innovation and Growth Potential - The company is collaborating with Omir Pharmaceuticals on a new drug, Omeros Sodium, which has submitted an NDA and is currently in the pharmaceutical review phase [13]. - The report anticipates that new products such as the long-acting analgesic injection CZ1S and the combination inhalation spray will contribute to future growth [13].