GIT(SZ:300465) GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2025-09-11 13:15Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5]. Core Views - The company, a veteran in the banking IT service sector with over 20 years of experience, is expected to create a new growth curve through AI Agent and intelligent financial big data services [2][11]. - The target price for 2026 is set at 30.69 CNY, based on a combination of PE and PS valuation methods, considering the growth potential of the company's innovative business [11][24]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline from 1,404 million CNY in 2023 to 1,176 million CNY in 2024, before rebounding to 2,545 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 26.5% from 2025 to 2027 [4][12]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow significantly from 29 million CNY in 2023 to 232 million CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 148.8% in 2026 [4][12]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 0.06 CNY in 2023 to 0.52 CNY in 2027 [4][12]. Business Overview - The company is a leading provider of IT solutions for the financial industry, primarily serving banks, insurance, and securities firms, with a strong market presence in credit and risk management systems [25]. - The company has established a partnership with Ant Group to explore AI applications in banking, aiming to enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency [11][29]. Strategic Initiatives - The establishment of an AI and financial big data division aims to develop a leading financial AI Agent application service platform, transitioning to a profit-sharing operational model [11][31]. - The strategic investment in DACS positions the company as a bridge to integrate traditional financial systems with Web3.0 and digital currency [11][32]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue growth is anticipated across various business segments, with software services expected to grow at 10% in 2025, while innovative business revenue is projected to increase significantly [15][18]. - The company is valued using both PE and PS methods, with a projected PE of 110x for 2026, leading to a reasonable valuation of 27.36 CNY per share [20][22].