AKESO(HK:09926) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-09-11 14:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) due to smooth commercialization progress and further updates on HARMONi data [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.412 billion RMB in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.75%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -570 million RMB [7]. - The commercialization of key products, namely Cadonilimab and Ivosidenib, has driven revenue growth, with product sales revenue increasing by 49.20% year-on-year [7]. - The HARMONi study presented at the WCLC 2025 conference showed improved overall survival (OS) data, with an OS hazard ratio (HR) of 0.78, indicating significant survival benefits [7]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 34.19 billion RMB, 55.98 billion RMB, and 85.77 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2023, 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 4,526 million RMB, 2,124 million RMB, 3,419 million RMB, 5,598 million RMB, and 8,577 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 440.3%, -53.1%, 61.0%, 63.7%, and 53.2% [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2,028.30 million RMB in 2023, -514.52 million RMB in 2024, -29.64 million RMB in 2025E, 586.11 million RMB in 2026E, and 1,485.85 million RMB in 2027E, with growth rates of 273.6%, -125.4%, 94.2%, 2077.2%, and 153.5% respectively [6]. - The company's reasonable equity value is estimated at 187.5 billion HKD, assuming a perpetual growth rate of 3% and a WACC of 7.06% [7].