GUJING(SZ:000596) Huaxin Securities·2025-09-11 14:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates resilient performance with steady growth despite a slowdown in revenue [1] - The company is actively managing its operations to alleviate pressure from declining prices and is focusing on maintaining profitability [5][8] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 138.80 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36.62 billion yuan, up 2% [4] - In Q2 2025, total revenue decreased by 14% to 47.34 billion yuan, with net profit down 12% to 13.32 billion yuan [4] Cost Control and Profitability - In Q2 2025, the company's gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 80.24%, primarily due to changes in product mix; however, the net profit margin increased by 1 percentage point to 29.33% [5] - The company reduced its sales expense ratio by 2 percentage points to 22.78% due to lower promotional spending [5] Product Performance - The company's white liquor revenue increased by 2% to 136.40 billion yuan in H1 2025, with varying performance across brands [6] - The overall trend shows an increase in volume but a decrease in price, particularly affecting the mid-range products [6] Market Performance - The company experienced a 40% year-on-year increase in online channel revenue, while offline channel revenue decreased by 1% [7] - The performance in the Central China market remained stable, while adjustments were made in markets outside the province [7] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 10.13, 10.85, and 11.93 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17, 16, and 15 times [8]