HOLSIN(SH:603909) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-12 05:21Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [9][8][5] Core Views - The company is positioned for growth due to the synergy with its parent company, Jianfa Group, which provides a robust platform for development [8][54] - The construction business is expected to expand rapidly, benefiting from the strong performance of Jianfa Group in the real estate sector [8][54] - The shift towards urban renewal presents new growth opportunities as the industry transitions to a focus on existing buildings [56][54] Company Overview - Jianfa Hecheng, established in 1995, specializes in engineering supervision, design consulting, and project management, and was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2016 [20][8] - The company became controlled by the Xiamen State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission after Jianfa Group acquired a 29.01% stake in 2021 [20][8] Business Expansion - The company has seen rapid growth in its construction business, with total revenue reaching 6.609 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 67.5% [7][24] - The construction segment accounted for 86.2% of total revenue in 2024, indicating a significant shift in business focus [26][24] - The company aims to enhance its service capabilities and brand through its "Engineering Hospital" concept, which focuses on maintenance and renovation [56][54] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The projected net profit for the company is expected to grow from 1.22 billion yuan in 2025 to 1.60 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.6% [9][7] - The company’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 23X in 2025 to 18X in 2027, indicating potential for valuation improvement [9][7] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Jianfa Group's strong market presence and ongoing investment in land acquisition provide a competitive edge, with land acquisition amounts reaching 519 billion yuan in 2024 [41][54] - The company’s construction orders are expected to increase as the real estate market stabilizes, with a projected order volume of 131 billion yuan in 2025 [52][54] Urban Renewal Opportunities - The shift towards urban renewal is anticipated to become a new growth engine for the construction industry, as highlighted by recent government initiatives [56][54] - The company is actively seeking to expand its business through mergers and acquisitions in new materials and technologies, aligning with industry trends [56][54]