JIN LEI(SZ:300443) Yin He Zheng Quan·2025-09-12 08:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Jinlei Co., Ltd. (300443.SZ) [2] Core Views - Jinlei Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leading player in the wind power main shaft market, with significant growth in revenue and profit expected due to increased demand and production capacity [7] - The company reported a substantial increase in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 1.283 billion yuan, up 79.85% year-on-year, and net profit of 188 million yuan, up 153.34% year-on-year [7] - The growth in the wind power sector is driven by the expansion of casting and forging capabilities, with strategic partnerships established with major global wind turbine manufacturers [7] Financial Forecasts - Projected revenue for Jinlei Co., Ltd. is expected to grow from 1.967 billion yuan in 2024 to 3.752 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [2][9] - The forecasted net profit is expected to increase from 173 million yuan in 2024 to 635 million yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability growth [2][9] - The company's EPS is projected to rise from 0.54 yuan in 2024 to 1.98 yuan in 2027, with a corresponding decrease in PE ratio from 51.26 to 13.95 [2][9] Revenue Breakdown - Wind power main shaft revenue is expected to significantly contribute to overall growth, with a forecast of 8.7 billion yuan in revenue for the first half of 2025, up 93.60% year-on-year [7] - Other precision shaft revenues are also projected to grow steadily, with a 11.56% increase year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [7] Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin is expected to improve from 21.33% in 2024 to around 27.54% in 2027, reflecting better cost management and pricing strategies [2][9] - The report highlights an increase in R&D expenses, which is anticipated to drive innovation and product development in the casting and industrial forging segments [7]