Semir(SZ:002563) Great Wall Securities·2025-09-12 09:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [4] Core Views - The company experienced pressure on its performance in the first half of 2025, with a decline in net profit due to increased expense ratios, despite maintaining mid-single-digit growth in retail [1][2] - The company is focusing on retail transformation and expanding its overseas business, emphasizing consumer-centric strategies and brand health management [3] Financial Summary - Revenue: The company reported revenue of 13,661 million in 2023, with projections of 15,248 million in 2025 and 16,923 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 2.5% in 2023 and an estimated 4.3% in 2025 [1] - Net Profit: The net profit for 2023 was 1,122 million, expected to decline to 926 million in 2025, with a significant drop of 18.6% year-on-year [1] - Gross Margin: The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 46.70%, showing a slight increase of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Net Margin: The net margin for the first half of 2025 was 5.19%, down by 4.05 percentage points year-on-year due to increased expense ratios [2] - Store Count: The company opened 540 stores and closed 629 in the first half of 2025, resulting in a total of 8,236 stores by mid-2025 [2] Business Strategy - The company is committed to a consumer-centric approach, focusing on retail transformation and enhancing operational efficiency through improved supply chain capabilities and product development [3] - The company is expanding its overseas presence, with multiple brands entering emerging markets and achieving growth in both online and offline retail channels [3] Valuation Metrics - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with corresponding P/E ratios of 16.4 for 2025, 13.3 for 2026, and 11.4 for 2027 [8]