华兰生物（002007）：血制品保持稳健，生物类似药贡献收益

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 19.45 CNY [6][12]. Core Insights - The blood products business is experiencing steady growth, with plasma collection increasing through various initiatives, while the vaccine business has stabilized. The company is gradually generating revenue from its subsidiary, Hualan Gene, maintaining the "Accumulate" rating [2][12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 5,342 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 18.3%. However, a decline of 18.0% is expected in 2024, followed by a recovery with a growth of 10.5% in 2025 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1,482 million CNY in 2023, with a significant increase of 37.7% year-on-year. A decrease of 26.6% is anticipated in 2024, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.81 CNY in 2023, decreasing to 0.60 CNY in 2024, and then gradually increasing to 0.83 CNY by 2027 [4]. Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1,798 million CNY, representing an 8.80% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 516 million CNY, up 17.19% year-on-year [12]. - The plasma collection volume reached 803.66 tons in the first half of 2025, marking a 5.24% increase year-on-year, with blood products revenue at 1,738 million CNY, up 7.49% [12]. - Vaccine revenue for the first half of 2025 was 59.96 million CNY, a significant increase of 68.77%, driven by strong sales of rabies vaccines, although flu vaccine sales faced challenges [12]. Research and Development - The company is actively advancing new drug development, with its subsidiary Hualan Gene focusing on innovative and biosimilar drugs. The revenue from biosimilars reached 58.89 million CNY in the first half of 2025 [12]. - Ongoing clinical trials include a long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist for type 2 diabetes, with plans for further development in obesity treatment and other therapeutic areas [12].