Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.959 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 26.06%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 496 million yuan, down 46.6% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 4.334 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.36%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.58%. The net profit for Q2 was 95 million yuan, down 76.75% year-on-year and down 76.41% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the first half of the year was better than the performance forecast [2][5] Summary by Sections Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, the sales volume of film products was nearly 1.4 billion square meters, remaining stable year-on-year, with a gross margin of 11%, down 5 percentage points year-on-year due to a decline in film prices compared to last year. In Q2, both sales volume and gross margin are expected to increase quarter-on-quarter, although the gross margin is expected to decline due to a drop in film prices after the domestic rush to install [11] - The sales volume of photosensitive dry film in the first half of 2025 was nearly 90 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 22%, with corresponding revenue growth of 18% and a gross margin of 25%, remaining stable year-on-year. In Q2, both sales volume and profitability are expected to grow [11] - The sales volume of aluminum-plastic film in the first half of 2025 was 6.66 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 19%. The company is focusing on the aluminum-plastic film business as part of its functional film materials division. The sales volume of photovoltaic backsheet was 33.7 million square meters, down about 50% year-on-year due to an increase in the proportion of double-glass components, leading to a decrease in demand for backsheets [11] Financial Indicators - As of the end of Q2, the company's asset-liability ratio was 21%, maintaining an excellent level in the industry. The cash and cash equivalents plus trading financial assets were nearly 6 billion yuan, indicating ample cash reserves. The net cash flow from operating activities for the first half of the year was approximately -900 million yuan, mainly due to a timing difference between sales revenue and actual cash receipts [11] - The company expects an increase in film shipments in the second half of the year, with overseas production capacity gradually contributing to revenue. The profitability of film products is expected to recover, and the photosensitive dry film business is anticipated to benefit from the acceleration of AI applications [11] Future Outlook - The company forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.3 billion yuan for 2026, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times, maintaining the "Buy" rating [11]
福斯特(603806):Q2胶膜业务底部企稳,电子材料表现亮眼