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明阳智能(601615):2025H1风机出货加速放量,在手订单充裕奠定交付景气基础

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of approximately 17.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 45.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 610 million yuan, a decrease of 7.7% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.44 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 40.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 310 million yuan, down 13.6% year-on-year [2][4] - The company’s wind turbine shipments accelerated, with a total of approximately 8.1 GW shipped in the first half of 2025, marking a 102% increase year-on-year, contributing to a revenue of about 12.5 billion yuan, which is a 57.5% increase [11] - The company has a robust order backlog of approximately 46.4 GW, including 5 GW of overseas wind turbine orders, which supports future delivery expectations [12] Financial Performance - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was approximately 11.2%, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased shipments of land-based wind turbines [6] - The company’s total expenses for Q2 were approximately 9.2% of revenue, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, with sales and R&D expense ratios slightly increasing [6] - The company recorded other income and investment income of approximately 91 million yuan and 87 million yuan, respectively, while credit impairment losses were about 28 million yuan [6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a recovery in wind turbine profitability in the second half of 2025 as offshore wind turbine deliveries ramp up [12] - The company is actively expanding its overseas offshore wind orders, which is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities [12] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is approximately 1.5 billion yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 19 times [12]