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维力医疗(603309):海外持续高增长,国内业务承压

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of 19 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 745 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.19%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 121 million yuan, up 14.17% [2]. - The overseas business continues to grow rapidly, while domestic operations face pressure due to industry regulations and pricing policies [2][8]. - The company has achieved robust growth in its urology and nursing product segments, with urology product revenue increasing by 43.90% to 134 million yuan in H1 2025 [2][8]. - The overall gross margin remained stable at 45.04%, with a net profit margin of 16.25%, reflecting improved profitability due to optimized expense ratios [2][8]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 260 million, 320 million, and 390 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16, 13, and 11 [2][8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,509 million yuan in 2024 to 2,368 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.6% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 219 million yuan in 2024 to 388 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 22.2% [4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.75 yuan in 2024 to 1.32 yuan in 2027 [4].