Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [5] Core Views - The report highlights that China Pacific Insurance (02328.HK) is a leading property insurance company with continuously improving underwriting quality, supported by strong short-term and long-term fundamentals [5] - The company is expected to benefit from a significant decrease in natural disaster economic losses and regulatory changes that enhance the profitability of its auto insurance segment [7][10] - The report anticipates a positive impact on non-auto insurance performance due to upcoming regulatory policies [10] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The closing price is HKD 18.75, with a market capitalization of HKD 417,051.85 million and a circulating market value of HKD 129,361.76 million [3] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported insurance service revenue and net profit growth of 5.6% and 32.3%, reaching RMB 249 billion and RMB 24.5 billion respectively [8] - The combined cost ratio decreased by 1.4 percentage points to 94.8%, and the annualized ROE increased by 1.3 percentage points to 9.0% [8] - The auto insurance segment saw a revenue increase of 3.5% to RMB 150.3 billion, with a combined cost ratio down by 2.2 percentage points to 94.2% [8] - Non-auto insurance revenue grew by 8.9% to RMB 98.8 billion, with a combined cost ratio down by 0.1 percentage points to 95.7% [8] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for the company's net profit for 2025-2027 is RMB 42.5 billion, RMB 46.8 billion, and RMB 51.0 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 32.2%, 10.1%, and 9.0% respectively [10] - The current closing price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 8.9 for 2025, 8.1 for 2026, and 7.5 for 2027 [10]
中国财险（02328）：承保质量持续提升的财险龙头，短期长期逻辑坚挺