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特宝生物(688278):2025 年中报点评:派格宾临床认可度提升,益佩生即将贡献增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][12]. Core Views - The core product, Peginterferon, continues to see increased volume, and the newly approved Yipeisheng is expected to contribute additional revenue [2][12]. - The company achieved a revenue of 1.511 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a growth of 26.96%, and a net profit of 428 million yuan, up 40.60% [12]. - The report adjusts the earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2026 to 2.69 yuan and 3.62 yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 5.04 yuan [12]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 2.1 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.45 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 32% [12][13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 555 million yuan in 2023 to 2.048 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [12][13]. - The company’s net asset return rate (ROE) is forecasted to improve from 29.6% in 2023 to 35.6% in 2027 [13]. Market Data - The stock has a 52-week price range of 58.11 to 91.33 yuan, with a current price of 81.70 yuan [6][12]. - The target price set for the stock is 99.41 yuan, based on a valuation of 37 times the projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025 [5][12]. Product Development - The long-acting interferon is solidifying its foundational role in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B, driving rapid growth in Peginterferon sales [12]. - The long-acting growth hormone, Yipeisheng, has been approved and is expected to enhance revenue through its competitive advantages in product design and service [12]. - The company is increasing its research and development investments and expanding its pipeline in liver disease treatments through various collaborations [12].