TCL TECH.(SZ:000100) Orient Securities·2025-09-15 13:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for TCL Technology [5] Core Views - TCL Technology plans to invest approximately 29.5 billion yuan in the construction of an 8.6-generation printed OLED production line, with a monthly capacity of 22,500 sheets of 2290mm×2620mm glass substrates, expected to commence in November 2025 [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for large-size OLED applications in IT and automotive sectors, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33% for laptops and 27% for automotive displays by 2030 [9] - The company's printed OLED technology is maturing, with over 1,200 patents and improvements in material efficiency and production costs, which may enhance its competitive edge against traditional FMM technology [9] Financial Forecasts - The forecasted net asset per share for 2025-2027 is 2.95 yuan, 3.20 yuan, and 3.77 yuan respectively, with a target price of 5.66 yuan based on a comparable company average PB of 1.92 for 2025 [2][10] - Projected revenue for 2025 is 193.686 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.5%, and net profit is expected to reach 6.609 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 322.5% [4][10] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 14.2% in 2023 to 19.0% in 2027, while net profit margin is projected to rise from 1.3% to 5.1% over the same period [4]