HPEC(SH:600312) Zhongyuan Securities·2025-09-15 13:11Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [28]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 5.696 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.96%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 666 million yuan, up 24.59% year-on-year [6][12]. - The company has seen significant growth in contract liabilities and inventory, indicating strong performance in securing new contracts [8][10]. - The high voltage, distribution network, and operation and maintenance segments have shown steady development, with the high voltage segment achieving a revenue of 3.264 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.58% [9][10]. Financial Performance - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 24.72%, an increase of 1.19 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin also rose by the same percentage [9][12]. - R&D expenses reached 239 million yuan, a 48.32% increase year-on-year, reflecting the company's commitment to technological advancement [12]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was negative at -430 million yuan, a decline of 166.75% year-on-year [6]. Business Segments - The high voltage segment's revenue growth was slightly impacted by the delivery schedule of orders, while the long-term investment in ultra-high voltage lines is expected to drive demand for switchgear and GIL products [9][10]. - The international business segment saw a remarkable revenue increase of 288.37%, with a gross margin of 9.68%, up 63.64% year-on-year [9][10]. Market Position - The company has a leading market share in the high voltage, ultra-high voltage, and special high voltage switchgear and power station equipment sectors, benefiting from significant contracts with state-owned enterprises [10][12]. - The company secured contracts worth 4.593 billion yuan from the State Grid in the first seven months of 2025, indicating strong competitive positioning [10]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.437 billion yuan, 1.778 billion yuan, and 2.154 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.06 yuan, 1.31 yuan, and 1.59 yuan [12]. - The anticipated PE ratios for the next three years are 14.64, 11.83, and 9.77, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [12].