HOLSIN(SH:603909) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-09-16 00:12Group 1: Market Overview - The current market indicates increasing pressure in the bond market, with risks potentially exceeding the influences of fundamentals and liquidity [2][11] - Recent adjustments in the bond market are largely seen as preparations for a bullish market expected around the end of 2024 [2][11] - Observations are needed for signals indicating a turning point in market sentiment, particularly regarding bond market pressures and potential positive signals [2][11] Group 2: Company Analysis - Jianfa Heceng (建发合诚) - Jianfa Heceng, a comprehensive engineering management consulting company, is expected to see significant profit growth, with projected net profits of 122 million, 140 million, and 160 million from 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27.4%, 14.7%, and 14.3% respectively [10][16] - The company is positioned to benefit from its relationship with Jianfa Group, which provides a robust platform for development and opportunities in a challenging real estate market [10][12] - Jianfa Heceng is actively seeking opportunities in urban renewal and business extension, aligning with national policies promoting urban development as a new growth engine [12][16] Group 3: Industry Insights - Cloud Computing - The cloud computing market is witnessing a divergence in capital expenditure (Capex) expectations, with traditional tech giants forecasting a combined Capex exceeding 350 billion for FY25, reflecting a 54% year-on-year increase [13][15] - Emerging cloud computing firms are benefiting from high growth in remaining performance obligations (RPO), with Oracle reporting a 359% year-on-year increase in RPO, indicating strong demand for cloud services [14][15] - The competition landscape is evolving with the introduction of ASIC chips, which are becoming increasingly relevant in AI applications, highlighting the need for companies to adapt to technological advancements [15][17]